Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota St.
Summit League
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#167
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#134
Pace65.5#233
Improvement+0.7#139

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#160
First Shot+2.3#113
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#318
Layup/Dunks+0.2#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#151
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#145
Freethrows+1.0#116
Improvement+2.2#55

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#181
First Shot+0.1#164
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#217
Layups/Dunks+0.8#139
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#154
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#286
Freethrows+1.1#103
Improvement-1.5#262
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 136   Arkansas St. W 76-66 54%     1 - 0 +8.9 +3.7 +5.4
  Nov 18, 2016 210   @ Navy W 66-59 52%     2 - 0 +6.6 +4.3 +3.3
  Nov 19, 2016 120   UNC Greensboro L 54-65 40%     2 - 1 -8.4 -11.3 +1.3
  Nov 20, 2016 269   @ High Point W 70-44 65%     3 - 1 +22.0 +8.5 +17.9
  Nov 27, 2016 130   @ Missouri St. L 50-64 34%     3 - 2 -9.7 -19.5 +9.0
  Nov 29, 2016 41   @ Xavier L 55-85 10%     3 - 3 -16.1 -6.8 -12.7
  Dec 02, 2016 349   @ N.C. A&T W 85-67 93%     4 - 3 +1.1 +10.8 -7.6
  Dec 07, 2016 172   North Dakota L 56-74 61%     4 - 4 -20.7 -15.4 -5.8
  Dec 14, 2016 213   UC Davis W 74-70 71%     5 - 4 -1.8 +8.5 -9.9
  Dec 16, 2016 172   @ North Dakota W 87-70 41%     6 - 4 +19.3 +17.6 +2.0
  Dec 20, 2016 35   @ Arkansas L 55-71 9%     6 - 5 -1.4 -14.6 +13.6
  Dec 28, 2016 175   @ South Dakota St. W 80-69 42%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +13.1 +8.1 +5.6
  Dec 31, 2016 169   Nebraska Omaha W 82-70 60%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +9.4 +6.4 +3.1
  Jan 05, 2017 205   IUPUI W 93-89 70%     9 - 5 3 - 0 -1.4 +9.5 -11.1
  Jan 11, 2017 145   @ South Dakota W 70-69 36%     10 - 5 4 - 0 +4.7 +3.9 +0.9
  Jan 14, 2017 194   @ Denver L 55-79 47%     10 - 6 4 - 1 -23.1 -21.2 -1.2
  Jan 19, 2017 148   Purdue Fort Wayne W 89-83 56%     11 - 6 5 - 1 +4.5 +13.2 -8.7
  Jan 21, 2017 296   @ Western Illinois W 89-57 72%     12 - 6 6 - 1 +25.8 +11.8 +13.1
  Jan 25, 2017 234   Oral Roberts W 81-71 75%     13 - 6 7 - 1 +2.9 +3.8 -0.8
  Feb 01, 2017 205   @ IUPUI L 81-86 OT 51%     13 - 7 7 - 2 -5.3 +3.0 -8.2
  Feb 04, 2017 145   South Dakota L 66-76 55%     13 - 8 7 - 3 -11.4 -3.2 -8.7
  Feb 08, 2017 175   South Dakota St. W 82-65 61%     14 - 8 8 - 3 +14.1 +4.6 +9.7
  Feb 11, 2017 194   Denver W 81-63 66%     15 - 8 9 - 3 +13.8 +1.3 +12.0
  Feb 15, 2017 148   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 61-77 36%     15 - 9 9 - 4 -12.4 -10.1 -2.9
  Feb 18, 2017 296   Western Illinois W 100-91 2OT 85%     16 - 9 10 - 4 -2.2 +12.4 -15.6
  Feb 22, 2017 234   @ Oral Roberts W 82-80 58%     17 - 9 11 - 4 -0.1 +5.0 -5.1
  Feb 25, 2017 169   @ Nebraska Omaha L 92-96 40%     17 - 10 11 - 5 -1.5 +9.1 -10.3
  Mar 04, 2017 205   IUPUI L 57-76 61%     17 - 11 -21.8 -12.4 -11.9
Projected Record 17.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%